Tag Archives: INTEGRUM

17 June (Webinar) Russia Banking Sector – Rosbank, UniCredit etc.

Register now for our next Web Seminar, which will focus on Foreign banks in Russia with an analysis of (for example) Rosbank and UniCredit general ecosystems. It will take place on the 17th of June (10AM London, 11AM Paris, 13AM Moscow).

A year and half ago, Emerval published its views on the sector. This seminar will be an opportunity to reflect about what really happened during the period 2012-2013.

Why is this important ? Foreign owned banks represent a massive share of total Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) in Russia. The recent news show that operational risk is still significant and should be carefully assessed in valuing portfolios of investments in the banking sector in Russia.

We look forward to your joining the webinar and hope to make it an interactive experience.

La Retraite de Russie des banques de la zone euro. Vers une nouvelle Berezina?

Par Jean-Marc Brassac / 14/12/2011

Jean-Marc Brassac, spécialiste des marchés émergents de la société indépendante de conseil en investissements Emerval, brosse un tableau exhaustif de la situation bancaire russe à travers le retrait des grandes banques étrangères investies en Russie.

Le point sur les forces en présence.

Selon la banque d’affaire russe Uralsib (Source : Business New Europe, daté du 4 octobre 2011), les banques russes, au premier rang desquelles la principale banque d’Etat Sberbank, pourraient profiter des difficultés rencontrées par les banques de la zone euro (crainte de la contagion de la crise de la dette grecque, très probable récession dans la zone euro, contraintes liées aux règles prudentielles dites « Bâle III) et de la chute vertigineuse de leurs cours boursiers, pour acquérir leurs actifs situés en Europe centrale et orientale, et en Turquie.

Constitueraient, notamment, des cibles potentielles pour des opérations de fusions & acquisitions à moyen terme, les actifs des banques européennes suivantes : Société Générale (France), UniCredit (Italie), Raffeisen (Autriche) et le groupe belge KBC.
Plusieurs journaux ont ainsi rapporté le souhait de Sberbank de se porter acquéreur de la filiale de Dexia en Turquie : Denizbank. Cependant, Sberbank a récemment indiqué renoncer à cette acquisition, découragée par le prix élevé demandé (5,3 mds d’USD) et aussi par la crainte de se voir opposer un refus de la part du régulateur turc.

Au-delà des rumeurs, ce qui est certain, c’est que nous assistons depuis quelques mois à une retraite massive des banques de la zone euro, du marché russe de la banque de détail.
Un marché pourtant des plus prometteurs en termes de croissance. Qu’il suffise ici de citer un chiffre : seulement 24 % des foyers russes possèderaient un compte bancaire (Sources : Crédit Suisse / Bloomberg Businessweek).Cette retraite des banques européennes du marché russe de la banque de détail  est donc pour nous l’occasion de faire le point sur les forces en présence et de dresser à destination des investisseurs intéressés par le marché russe, un panorama du secteur bancaire russe, à l’heure où sont publiés les résultats au troisième trimestre 2011. […]

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The present topic pictures the assessment of the visibility of Arab world personalities and businesses as seen in the Russian news between January 2004 and April 2013.

New tools for new issues

Our objective was to put together a variety of expertise and work as a single team on a particularly complex issue in order to experiment several innovative information techniques.

The study

Both Russia and the Arab world are often scrutinized through a European or American prism, yet both areas are seldom observed from the viewpoint of their relations, whose historical and geographical relevance is paramount. These ties, however important, are not our only motive of study.

The current turmoil affecting many Arab countries and the essential diplomatic part Russia is playing should not be neglected – in this, the Syrian crisis is certainly the most blatant example. Therefore, access to the Russian-speaking media is probably the shortest way to get a genuine and thorough assessment of the Russian perception and priorities.

The methodology

We initially selected a sample of seven major Arab countries – namely Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Lebanon, Qatar, Syria, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
We subsequently used the Russian database INTEGRUM provided by RUSSOSCOPIE as a trial in order to extract a list of personalities, mostly politicians and diplomats, associated with each country. Once extracted, the comprehensive database only provided, however, raw information that required processing and qualification: hence, the list of hundreds of names had to be analysed and revised to come up with precise and accurate intelligence. In our case, this resulted in 280 different personalities reflecting Russian priorities in the news (concerning for instance Syria and Egypt). For each name, all the related articles are indexed in the database.

Aside from the press, the database also provided us with information regarding companies registered and/or present in Russia. We took either one of the selected countries or one single name in particular to find these companies. Dozens of Arab firms of different sizes and fields were subsequently singled out and categorized.
Such data have both geopolitical and microeconomic dimensions. On the one hand, they can be employed to outline the interactions between geopolitical areas of interest. On the other, they match the purpose of business prospection and competitive intelligence.

To come up with the results, a major asset was the onomastics software, provided by NAMSOR, applied to various alphabets including Russian Cyrillic, Latin and Arabic. Its ability to recognize similarity in names helped us find several other Arab personalities amongst the tens of thousands of names featured by the Russian media since 2004.

The results

In the end, the INTEGRUM database and the name recognition software combined with the analytical skills at AESMA brought interesting statistical results: THE EVOLUTION AND COMPARISON OF THE EXPOSURE OF ARAB PERSONALITIES IN RUSSIA SINCE 2004.

Arab People In Russian Media (2013)

At first glance, the Russian interest for the Arab world seems obvious, as shown by the hundreds of di€fferent Arab personalities mentioned in the Russian media. Comparisons within the Arab world but also between the Arab world and Europe lead to at least three conclusions:
(1) even though it is not a clear priority (compared with Europe for instance) the importance of the Arab world is increasing;
(2) media coverage is more reactive to events rather than to traditional alliances;
(3) due to current trends and developments, 2013 will be a milestone year in the relationship between Russia and Arab countries.

About the author

Adlene Mohammedi is a PhD candidate specialised in geopolitics and one of the authors of ARAPRISM.

About the contributors

The consulting firm AESMA™ is the editor of Eurasia Focus, a newsletter focused on business intelligence in Russia and the CIS.

RUSSOSCOPIE™ is the distributor of INTEGRUM, a leading professional database covering Russian media, companies, and decision makers.

NAMSOR™ is a provider of applied onomastics, sociolinguistics and name recognition software

©2013 All rights reserved.

Download the PDF Version in English White Paper AESMA-Russoscopie 2p EN, Russian White Paper AESMA-Russoscopie 2p RU or French White Paper AESMA-Russoscopie 2p FR.  This is a reblog, you may find the original article here.

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